Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.165528 4.465030 4.785960 5.157255 5.577312 6.040588 6.594070
2025-08-31 3.715101 4.134257 4.612366 5.205376 5.931795 6.807457 7.967050
2025-09-07 3.423624 3.903591 4.474193 5.216812 6.180545 7.424334 9.216739
2025-09-14 3.126956 3.622405 4.227794 5.042000 6.142620 7.636308 9.934995
2025-09-21 2.918440 3.425541 4.059534 4.936476 6.165070 7.910189 10.768453
2025-09-28 2.764651 3.282527 3.943227 4.880481 6.237567 8.250495 11.757554
2025-10-05 2.652485 3.183209 3.873282 4.876099 6.375616 8.698840 13.018169
2025-10-12 2.588166 3.140734 3.873654 4.966492 6.659048 9.413223 14.942579
2025-10-19 2.524634 3.094049 3.862905 5.036530 6.914770 10.119095 17.074431
2025-10-26 2.449167 3.025954 3.816310 5.046695 7.071750 10.673566 19.078747
2025-11-02 2.353300 2.924367 3.715201 4.964040 7.062481 10.914490 20.433633
2025-11-09 2.251769 2.810173 3.589555 4.833530 6.956847 10.950607 21.282482
2025-11-16 2.171363 2.724675 3.504766 4.767231 6.966901 11.241184 23.023928
2025-11-23 2.126092 2.687334 3.489337 4.811800 7.182131 12.004644 26.617495
2025-11-30 2.075451 2.639625 3.455174 4.821995 7.333790 12.662132 30.356048
2025-12-07 1.987565 2.534235 3.328217 4.667828 7.155394 12.526946 31.106048
2025-12-14 1.920234 2.456539 3.240336 4.574569 7.086946 12.644562 32.998413
2025-12-21 1.867837 2.398790 3.180442 4.525023 7.099240 12.962469 36.046493
2025-12-28 1.829292 2.360075 3.148259 4.521145 7.202846 13.535587 40.943354
2026-01-04 1.811800 2.351927 3.163387 4.601111 7.488598 14.667544 50.634412
2026-01-11 1.791160 2.338083 3.168494 4.662997 7.743495 15.793119 62.969008
2026-01-18 1.760543 2.307891 3.145723 4.671974 7.882868 16.618723 75.551298
2026-01-25 1.714907 2.253268 3.081004 4.598943 7.828805 16.819710 82.935440